A recent research project conducted by the Independent Media Caucus for Development (IMCD) has projected Chris Arthur, the NPP Parliamentary candidate, to win the Agona West Parliamentary seat with a significant margin.
According to the research findings, Arthur is expected to secure 55.63% of the total valid votes cast, while his closest contender, the NDC Parliamentary candidate, is projected to obtain 35.24%.
The independent candidate, Cynthia Mamle Morrison, is expected to pull only 9.51% of the total valid votes cast.
The research also revealed a total turnout of 73.7% and projected Arthur to win 19 out of the 31 electoral areas across the constituency.
The findings also indicate a decisive victory for Arthur among key demographic groups, including market women, drivers, teachers, artisans, farmers, and students.
Below is the data analysis from all 31 electoral areas, based on a sample size of 10,637 out of a total of 89,067 voters in Agona West:
From the chart above, five thousand seven hundred and seventy-seven (5,777), representing 50.31% of the selected sample size of 10,637 people interviewed from all 31 electoral areas plus the special voters list, said they will vote for Chris Arthur of the NPP.
Two thousand nine hundred and fifty-six (2,956), representing 26.1%, said they will vote for the NDC’s candidate, Ernestina Ofori Dangbey, while four hundred and fifty (450), representing 4.23%, will vote for Cynthia Morrison.
From the data, it is seen that out of the selected 10,637 voters, 2,273, representing 20.36%, are undecided.